Up until a few weeks ago, one could argue that the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee had been doing a reasonably good job in the Sunshine State.
One could even make the point that in a presidential year, one most likely to bring a D pickup, the DSCC had positioned themselves pretty well to take back Marco Rubio’s seat.
It began with a few elbows to the side of Alan Grayson’s head and continued with a strong centrist positioning of Patrick Murphy.
By most accounts, Florida was in a relatively strong position, at a minimum, to compete for this highly prized U.S. Senate seat.
Add to that a disclosure that Trump’s companies traded with Cuba, and there should be a noticeable down-ballot impact, turning out a core South Florida voting constituency.
One would think the Rubio versus Murphy race is in play, with a Murphy victory more than just an academic possibility.
With a statewide polling average (according to RealClearPolitics.com) showing the better-known Marco Rubio at only 2 points above the lesser-known Murphy (Rubio is still below 50 percent), one would also think the DSCC smells blood and is going to pounce.
One would think.
Over the past week, there have been developing reports that essentially show national Democrats are walking away from Murphy.
That makes absolutely no sense.
For starters, helping keep Murphy afloat helps the top of the ticket. And while this may be shockingly obvious, it needs to be said: If HRC wins Florida, she is POTUS.
Helping the undercard has an up-ballot effect, although not a large one.
It’s not like I am suggesting they support a down-ballot candidate in a deep red state.
Furthermore, help could be nested in a few swing congressional seats to (at least) weaken Paul Ryan’s grip on the House. It would be money very well spent.
Oh, and did I mention, they could also help make Patrick Murphy a U.S. Senator?
So with a close U.S. Senate race, a few potential congressional pickups and the big electoral college swing-state prize … the DSCC walks away.
In my not-so-humble opinion; that is insane.